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Escalation of the Iraq conflict! The attack and defense battle of the Fordo nuclear facility is about to break out, and the gold market is holding its breath on the “edge of war”
- June 20, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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On June 20th local time, Israeli security sources revealed to Iran International Television that the Israeli military plans to launch a “desperate” strike on Iran’s Fordo nuclear facility within the next 48 to 72 hours, even if the United States refuses to participate directly.
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The Middle East war continues to escalate! Israel vows to fight to the end, Trump denies ceasefire
- June 18, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Although Iran announced the resumption of dialogue with the International Atomic Energy Agency and market concerns about the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz temporarily subsided, the Israeli Ambassador to the United Nations issued a statement early on the 17th stating that “negotiations are too early and Israel will fight to the end,” reigniting expectations of geopolitical risks. At the same time, US President Trump denied on the morning of the 17th that “emergency return to the US is a ceasefire” after shortening the G7 summit itinerary and returning to the US, emphasizing that “the US is committed to ensuring Iran’s denuclearization”, further exacerbating market uncertainty.
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Gold prices break through again, multiple factors drive historical highs
- March 17, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On March 13, 2025, the international gold market reached a milestone moment. COMEX gold futures prices surged to $3001.3 per ounce during trading, breaking through the $3000 integer mark for the first time. London spot gold closed at $2988.26 per ounce, both reaching historic highs.
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The two sides of the US economy – the dual test of slowing inflation and fiscal deficit
- March 14, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The U.S. economy is at a crossroads. On the one hand, inflation shows signs of slowing down, while on the other hand, the fiscal deficit continues to expand. These two forces are intertwined, outlining a complex and subtle economic picture.
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The CPI data is lower than expected, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut window may open earlier
- March 14, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the evening of March 12th at 20:30, the US Department of Labor announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February increased by 2.8% year-on-year and 0.2% month on month, both lower than market expectations of 2.9% and 0.3%. Excluding food and energy, the core CPI was 3.1% year-on-year and 0.2% month on month, which was also lower than the expected 3.2% and 0.3%. This is the first time that US inflation data has fallen after four consecutive months of rebound, and the year-on-year growth rate has hit a new low since April 2021.
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An in- depth analysis of the US February CPI report – the complex game between inflation, tariffs and interest rates
- March 13, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 20:30 on Wednesday, March 12. The market generally expects inflation to ease during the month, but price pressures remain higher than Federal Reserve officials expect. After months of stagnation in inflation progress, the impact of new Trump administration policies (such as tariffs and immigration restrictions) has renewed concerns about the prospects for improving inflation.
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US February CPI data forecast: Beware of unexpected risks, gold market long short game
- March 13, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On March 12th at 20:30 Beijing time, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February. The market generally expects that the year-on-year growth rate of CPI in February may slightly increase from 3.1% in January to 3.2%, supported by the rebound in energy prices and housing costs. The core CPI will increase by 3.8% year-on-year, with a month on month increase of 0.4%.
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Trump’s tariff storm sweeps global markets: US stocks evaporate $4 trillion, gold market greatly affected
- March 12, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On March 10, 2025, the US stock market experienced the most severe volatility during Trump’s second term. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, a decrease of 2.08%; The S&P 500 index plummeted by 2.7%, with a daily market value evaporation of over $4 trillion; The Nasdaq Composite Index plummeted by 4%, marking its largest single day decline in two and a half years. Technology stocks have become the hardest hit areas, with Tesla’s market value evaporating by $130 billion overnight, and the “seven giants” such as Apple and Nvidia collectively falling by more than 4%.
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Non-farm payrolls fall short of expectations, US dollar fragility begins to show! Trump’s impact has not yet fully emerged! ?
- March 11, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The first non-farm report of Trump’s presidency released on Friday showed that US job growth accelerated in February and the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1%, but the increased uncertainty of trade policy and the large-scale layoffs of the US federal government may weaken the resilience of the labor market in the coming months. The seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in the United States in February increased by 151,000, less than the expected 160,000. The total number of new jobs in December and January was 2,000 lower than before the revision. In addition, the US unemployment rate in February was 4.1%, higher than the expected 4%, the highest since November 2024. The annual rate of average hourly wages in the United States in February was 4%, lower than the expected 4.1%, and the previous value was revised down from 4.10% to 3.9%; the monthly rate was 0.3%, in line with expectations, and the previous value was revised down from 0.5% to 0.4%.
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In depth analysis of February US non farm payroll data: long short game and investment strategy in the gold market
- March 11, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Last Friday (9:30 pm on March 7th), the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released its non farm payroll report for February, with 151000 new jobs added, slightly higher than the previous value of 143000 but lower than market expectations of 159000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, and hourly wage growth slowed down to 3.1%. The data shows that the US labor market is showing signs of moderate cooling, resonating with the previous weak ADP employment data, further strengthening market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates within the year.
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