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Trump’s repeated tariff policies highlight the safe haven nature of the gold market
- March 10, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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On March 6th local time, US President Trump signed a tariff amendment, announcing a temporary suspension of 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods that comply with the USMCA, with exemptions until April 2nd. This policy shift came just two days after its announcement on March 3rd that “tariffs will take effect on the 4th,” triggering severe turbulence in global financial markets. Gold, as a traditional safe haven asset, exhibits significant anti inflation and hedging characteristics in the face of policy uncertainty.
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The ADP data for February in the United States was unexpectedly cold, with non farm payroll data becoming a key focus
- March 7, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The unexpected drop in ADP employment data for February in the United States, far below market expectations, instantly ignited investors’ sensitive nerves. The gold market was the first to react fiercely, and the price trend experienced significant fluctuations. At the same time, the evolution of expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has entered a new stage, and the upcoming non farm payroll data is seen by the market as a key factor determining the next direction of gold.
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The rise and fall of gold prices, and the new views of major institutions on the gold market
- March 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Last week, international gold prices experienced a significant decline, with the main contract price of New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures dropping by 3.55%, ending the previous nine week long uptrend. This is also the largest weekly decline in international gold prices since November last year. The domestic gold market has also been affected, and the retail prices of domestic consumer gold jewelry have been comprehensively lowered.
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Trump’s new tariff policy triggers a safe haven trend, with gold soaring $30 in a single day
- March 5, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On Tuesday (March 4th), US President Trump announced the implementation of a comprehensive 25% additional tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods imported to the United States, covering key areas such as automotive parts, agricultural products, and energy products, with an annual trade volume of 387 billion US dollars. Affected by this, the Mexican peso exchange rate plummeted 5.7% to a new low since the 1994 currency crisis, the inverted yield curve of US Treasury bonds deepened to -0.37%, and spot gold surged $30 in a single day, touching $2894.9 per ounce.
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Non farm payroll forecast for February – new trends in the labor market and economic outlook
- March 4, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Verification of labor market resilience: In January, there were 143000 new non farm jobs added (previously revised up to 307000), and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.0%. However, wage growth exceeded expectations (4.1% year-on-year), causing inflation concerns. The market needs to verify whether the February data continues the combination of “strong employment+high wages” or shows signs of economic slowdown.
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The ever-changing gold market , short-term corrections and long-term support factors
- March 3, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Gold prices fell to their lowest level in two weeks on Thursday as the dollar strengthened and investors waited for key inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. In the early U.S. trading, the short-term decline was nearly $13, falling below $2,870/ounce, and the intraday decline was more than 1.60% . On Friday, it hit a new low and once fell below $2,860/ounce. The U.S. dollar index rose by more than 0.5%, standing above the 107 mark, further away from the recent 11-week low, making gold denominated in U.S. dollars more expensive for holders of other currencies. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rose by more than 1% at one point, weakening the relative attractiveness of gold, an interest-free asset.
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Trudeau responds strongly to Trump’s tariff threat, global trade tensions escalate again
- March 3, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On February 27th local time, Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau issued a strongly worded response to the possible tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration. He made it clear that if the Trump administration implements “unreasonable tariff policies,” Canada will immediately launch a very strong counterattack. This statement has made the already tense global trade situation even more tense.
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The United States and Ukraine are about to sign a rare earth mineral agreement, adding another variable to the international situation
- February 28, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On February 26th local time, US President Trump confirmed that Ukrainian President Zelensky will visit the United States on February 28th to sign an important rare earth mineral agreement. This news has attracted international attention, as the agreement not only concerns Ukraine’s efforts to gain support from the United States, but also adds variables to the diplomatic interaction between the United States and Russia.
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The Federal Reserve maintains a “wait-and-see” attitude towards the impact of tariff policies, and there is still uncertainty in the decision to cut interest rates
- February 27, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The Federal Reserve maintains a “wait-and-see” stance, with the impact of Trump’s policies becoming a key variable in interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee has explicitly stated that the Fed is currently in a “wait-and-see” state and will not take rash action until the comprehensive impact of the Trump administration’s series of new policies on the economy is clarified. These policies cover multiple dimensions such as trade tariff adjustments, immigration policy changes, tax structure optimization, government spending cuts, and federal employee layoffs. He emphasized that before making a decision to cut interest rates, the Federal Reserve must wait for the policy effects to be fully released until the situation “settles”.
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The market is “blunting” to Trump’s tariff policy. Gold’s safe-haven attribute hides strategic opportunities
- February 25, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The impact of the Trump administration’s recent tariff threats on the global capital market has shown a significant blunting effect. Although policy uncertainty still exists, the market volatility index (VIX index) has fallen from 22 at the beginning of the year to around 15, indicating that investors’ immediate response to trade frictions has weakened.
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