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The Fed and the bond market are in a tug-of-war – the US dollar benefits from it!
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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The markets may be volatile in the coming months, but there are ways to avoid the fray and earn solid gains. Although the Federal Reserve has been cutting rates since September, long-term Treasury yields have bucked the trend and climbed sharply. Treasury yields move inversely to prices, a dynamic that has hit long-term Treasury funds hard. What happens next depends on a number of factors, including the Fed’s next move, the U.S. fiscal situation, inflation expectations, and the policies of President-elect Trump. Fed Chairman Powell has already taken a more hawkish stance, preparing for two additional quarterly rate cuts in 2025.
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Will the Fed’s delicate balance be broken? The tug of war between interest rate adjustment and new government policy !
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the global financial stage, the U.S. monetary policy and financing market dynamics are a barometer of the global economy and play a vital role in the stability and predictability of global financial markets. As 2024 draws to a close and 2025 approaches, market participants are nervously watching key interest rate changes in the U.S. overnight financing market and how the Federal Reserve can maintain the consistency and independence of its policies amid the uncertainty of the new administration’s policies. These changes not only foreshadow the short-term direction of the U.S. economy, but may also have a profound impact on the global economy.
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Global turbulence – a stabilizer or a source of pressure for the precious metals market?
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
In the global financial arena, gold and silver are not only precious metals, but also a barometer of global economic sentiment. In 2024, the two markets experienced dramatic fluctuations, with gold hitting a record high, while silver became a bright spot in the commodity market with its unique industrial and investment attributes. As the clock of 2025 approaches, investors and analysts are keeping a close eye on every economic and political development on the horizon, trying to get a glimpse of the future trend of gold and silver prices.
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Revealing the meaning behind the ” US stock Christmas rally ” – potential ” five major trends “
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
There is a well-known phenomenon in the US stock market, the “Christmas Rally”, a seasonal trend that brings optimistic returns to investors in most years. In 2024, the development of artificial intelligence technology drove the stock market to one of its best annual performances in two thousand years !
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Gold price shock and AI revolution: new trends in financial markets
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Financial markets have experienced significant volatility recently, particularly in the area of gold prices and artificial intelligence (AI) investments. The price of gold was once close to a high of US$2,800 per ounce, then fell to around US$2,567 per ounce after the election. It has rebounded recently, back to US$2,600-2,700 per ounce. Such fluctuations not only reflect changes in market sentiment, but also hint at deeper economic and political factors.
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The Fed turns to the ” Trump deal ” – the outlook for gold and the dollar amid market volatility
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
A month ago, the hot topics in the market focused on Trump and his U.S. economic blueprint for boosting economic growth next year and beyond. However, as the Christmas holiday approaches, the hawkish shift of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has once again become the focus of the market, bringing inflation back into the investors’ sight and triggering the biggest market turmoil since Election Day.
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The Fed’s “hawkish rate cut” policy forces emerging market central banks to actively respond to new monetary pressures!
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
In its recent policy meeting, the Federal Reserve unexpectedly showed a hawkish stance, a shift that occurred three months after it slashed interest rates by 50 basis points to “fend off a recession.” Financial blog Zero Hedge questioned this, pointing out the Fed’s unusual behavior of turning from an extremely dovish to a hawkish stance in just three months, and questioned whether this decision was another catastrophic policy mistake.
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The market reacted strongly to the Fed’s third rate cut, and expectations for future rate cuts showed negative growth !
- December 19, 2024
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
At the policy meeting on December 19, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced its third interest rate cut this year, a 25 basis point cut, adjusting the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%-4.5%. This decision was in line with market expectations, bringing the Fed’s cumulative interest rate cuts this year to 100 basis points.
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Fed may adjust rate cut expectations in response to productivity growth and economic data
- December 17, 2024
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
As Federal Reserve policymakers prepare to hold their final meeting of the year this week, markets widely expect a 25 basis point rate cut. However, more attention will be paid to their latest assessment of the economic outlook and the path of rate cuts. The Fed is currently facing a debate over productivity growth, which may affect their views on economic capacity and inflation control.
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