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June CPI data released today: The game between tariff shocks and expectations of interest rate cuts, the gold market holds its breath as it waits
- July 15, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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As of the morning session of July 15th in the Asian market, spot gold prices were reported at $3345.22 per ounce, a drop of nearly $30 from yesterday’s high of $3374.78. The market is full of expectations for the US June CPI data to be released at 20:30 in the evening. This data will be a key point in verifying whether Trump’s tariff policy has actually pushed up inflation, while directly affecting market expectations for the Fed’s September interest rate cut. According to authoritative institutions’ predictions, the overall year-on-year increase in CPI in June may reach 2.7%, and the core CPI may climb to 3.0%, setting a new six-month high.
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The two sides of the US economy – the dual test of slowing inflation and fiscal deficit
- March 14, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The U.S. economy is at a crossroads. On the one hand, inflation shows signs of slowing down, while on the other hand, the fiscal deficit continues to expand. These two forces are intertwined, outlining a complex and subtle economic picture.
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The CPI data is lower than expected, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut window may open earlier
- March 14, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the evening of March 12th at 20:30, the US Department of Labor announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February increased by 2.8% year-on-year and 0.2% month on month, both lower than market expectations of 2.9% and 0.3%. Excluding food and energy, the core CPI was 3.1% year-on-year and 0.2% month on month, which was also lower than the expected 3.2% and 0.3%. This is the first time that US inflation data has fallen after four consecutive months of rebound, and the year-on-year growth rate has hit a new low since April 2021.
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An in- depth analysis of the US February CPI report – the complex game between inflation, tariffs and interest rates
- March 13, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 20:30 on Wednesday, March 12. The market generally expects inflation to ease during the month, but price pressures remain higher than Federal Reserve officials expect. After months of stagnation in inflation progress, the impact of new Trump administration policies (such as tariffs and immigration restrictions) has renewed concerns about the prospects for improving inflation.
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US February CPI data forecast: Beware of unexpected risks, gold market long short game
- March 13, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On March 12th at 20:30 Beijing time, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February. The market generally expects that the year-on-year growth rate of CPI in February may slightly increase from 3.1% in January to 3.2%, supported by the rebound in energy prices and housing costs. The core CPI will increase by 3.8% year-on-year, with a month on month increase of 0.4%.
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US CPI report triggers market volatility: Analysis of Fed policy and economic outlook
- January 17, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The latest US inflation report released on Wednesday showed that the overall CPI in December was basically in line with expectations, while the core CPI eased. The monthly rate of the US CPI after seasonal adjustment in December was 0.4%, the highest since March 2024, higher than market expectations and the previous value of 0.3%; the annual rate of the US CPI without seasonal adjustment in December was 2.9%, in line with expectations, and warmer than the previous value of 2.7%. The monthly rate of the US core CPI without seasonal adjustment in December was 0.2%, in line with market expectations, and cooler than the previous value of 0.3%; the annual rate of the US core CPI without seasonal adjustment in December was 3.2%, the lowest since August 2024, and the market expected it to remain unchanged at 3.3%.
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CPI Report Outlook: Market Volatility and Key Turning Points in Fed Policy
- January 16, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The recent turmoil in the stock market has options traders increasingly worried that the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report could cause more volatility. Surging bond yields and strong employment data have made this CPI report a hot topic. Stuart Kaiser, head of U.S. equity trading strategy at Citigroup, said he expects the S&P 500 to fluctuate 1% on January 15, which is the largest implied volatility on the CPI data release date since the regional bank turmoil in March 2023.
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