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In depth analysis of February US non farm payroll data: long short game and investment strategy in the gold market
- March 11, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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Last Friday (9:30 pm on March 7th), the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released its non farm payroll report for February, with 151000 new jobs added, slightly higher than the previous value of 143000 but lower than market expectations of 159000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, and hourly wage growth slowed down to 3.1%. The data shows that the US labor market is showing signs of moderate cooling, resonating with the previous weak ADP employment data, further strengthening market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates within the year.
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CPI Report Outlook: Market Volatility and Key Turning Points in Fed Policy
- January 16, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The recent turmoil in the stock market has options traders increasingly worried that the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report could cause more volatility. Surging bond yields and strong employment data have made this CPI report a hot topic. Stuart Kaiser, head of U.S. equity trading strategy at Citigroup, said he expects the S&P 500 to fluctuate 1% on January 15, which is the largest implied volatility on the CPI data release date since the regional bank turmoil in March 2023.
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U.S. non-farm payroll data in December exceeded expectations, financial markets are in turmoil again
- January 14, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
In December 2024, the U.S. economy added 256,000 new jobs, which was higher than market expectations of 160,000 and a new high since April 2024 . The previous data for November was lowered to 212,000, and the data for October was also adjusted, resulting in a total reduction of 8,000 positions in October and November. In December, job growth was mainly concentrated in the fields of health care (46,000), government (33,000) and social assistance (23,000).
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