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U.S. housing costs have become a driver of inflation data, and the market has reacted violently to the Fed’s policies !
- February 14, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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The increase in U.S. inflation last month exceeded expectations across the board, supporting the Federal Reserve’s cautious attitude towards rate cuts. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that the core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, accelerated to 0.4% month-on-month in January, the largest increase since March 2024, exceeding expectations of 0.3% and the previous value of 0.2%; the year-on-year growth rate accelerated to 3.3%, higher than the expected 3.1% and the previous value of 3.2%. The overall CPI accelerated to 0.5% month-on-month, the largest increase since June 2024, higher than the expected 0.3% and the previous value of 0.4%, and the year-on-year growth rate returned to the “three-digit” at 3%, higher than the previous value and market expectations of 2.9%.
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Will the Fed’s delicate balance be broken? The tug of war between interest rate adjustment and new government policy !
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the global financial stage, the U.S. monetary policy and financing market dynamics are a barometer of the global economy and play a vital role in the stability and predictability of global financial markets. As 2024 draws to a close and 2025 approaches, market participants are nervously watching key interest rate changes in the U.S. overnight financing market and how the Federal Reserve can maintain the consistency and independence of its policies amid the uncertainty of the new administration’s policies. These changes not only foreshadow the short-term direction of the U.S. economy, but may also have a profound impact on the global economy.
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The Fed turns to the ” Trump deal ” – the outlook for gold and the dollar amid market volatility
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
A month ago, the hot topics in the market focused on Trump and his U.S. economic blueprint for boosting economic growth next year and beyond. However, as the Christmas holiday approaches, the hawkish shift of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has once again become the focus of the market, bringing inflation back into the investors’ sight and triggering the biggest market turmoil since Election Day.
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The Fed’s “hawkish rate cut” policy forces emerging market central banks to actively respond to new monetary pressures!
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
In its recent policy meeting, the Federal Reserve unexpectedly showed a hawkish stance, a shift that occurred three months after it slashed interest rates by 50 basis points to “fend off a recession.” Financial blog Zero Hedge questioned this, pointing out the Fed’s unusual behavior of turning from an extremely dovish to a hawkish stance in just three months, and questioned whether this decision was another catastrophic policy mistake.
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The market reacted strongly to the Fed’s third rate cut, and expectations for future rate cuts showed negative growth !
- December 19, 2024
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
At the policy meeting on December 19, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced its third interest rate cut this year, a 25 basis point cut, adjusting the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%-4.5%. This decision was in line with market expectations, bringing the Fed’s cumulative interest rate cuts this year to 100 basis points.
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Fed may adjust rate cut expectations in response to productivity growth and economic data
- December 17, 2024
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
As Federal Reserve policymakers prepare to hold their final meeting of the year this week, markets widely expect a 25 basis point rate cut. However, more attention will be paid to their latest assessment of the economic outlook and the path of rate cuts. The Fed is currently facing a debate over productivity growth, which may affect their views on economic capacity and inflation control.
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