Sydney NSW 2000. Level 2, 35
Clarence Street.
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Financial markets in the vortex of US economic policy: the triple game of debt, currency and corporate profits
- July 15, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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The current US economy is at a critical juncture where multiple policy variables are intertwined: debt interest payments have exceeded historical peaks, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path is shrouded in mystery, and corporate profits are trying to find a balance between trade frictions and technological innovation. The game of these three dimensions not only affects the trend of core assets such as US stocks, US bonds, and the US dollar, but also reflects the deep contradictions between fiscal expansion, political intervention, and market rules in the US economy.
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Can the meeting between Trump and Netanyahu break the deadlock in Gaza ceasefire negotiations?
- July 7, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the early morning of July 7th local time, the first round of ceasefire negotiations in Gaza ended without any results in Doha, Qatar. The Israeli negotiation team failed to reach a ceasefire agreement with Hamas due to a lack of sufficient authorization.Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu departed for the United States on the 6th and plans to meet with US President Trump on the evening of the 7th to discuss issues such as the Gaza ceasefire, Iran, and normalization of relations with Arab countries. The market is highly concerned about whether this meeting will release a breakthrough signal, especially whether Trump will make concessions to Israel on tariff policies, military aid, and other aspects.
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Non farm payroll forecast for February – new trends in the labor market and economic outlook
- March 4, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Verification of labor market resilience: In January, there were 143000 new non farm jobs added (previously revised up to 307000), and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.0%. However, wage growth exceeded expectations (4.1% year-on-year), causing inflation concerns. The market needs to verify whether the February data continues the combination of “strong employment+high wages” or shows signs of economic slowdown.
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US CPI report triggers market volatility: Analysis of Fed policy and economic outlook
- January 17, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The latest US inflation report released on Wednesday showed that the overall CPI in December was basically in line with expectations, while the core CPI eased. The monthly rate of the US CPI after seasonal adjustment in December was 0.4%, the highest since March 2024, higher than market expectations and the previous value of 0.3%; the annual rate of the US CPI without seasonal adjustment in December was 2.9%, in line with expectations, and warmer than the previous value of 2.7%. The monthly rate of the US core CPI without seasonal adjustment in December was 0.2%, in line with market expectations, and cooler than the previous value of 0.3%; the annual rate of the US core CPI without seasonal adjustment in December was 3.2%, the lowest since August 2024, and the market expected it to remain unchanged at 3.3%.
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CPI Report Outlook: Market Volatility and Key Turning Points in Fed Policy
- January 16, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The recent turmoil in the stock market has options traders increasingly worried that the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report could cause more volatility. Surging bond yields and strong employment data have made this CPI report a hot topic. Stuart Kaiser, head of U.S. equity trading strategy at Citigroup, said he expects the S&P 500 to fluctuate 1% on January 15, which is the largest implied volatility on the CPI data release date since the regional bank turmoil in March 2023.
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