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Non-farm payrolls fall short of expectations, US dollar fragility begins to show! Trump’s impact has not yet fully emerged! ?
- March 11, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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The first non-farm report of Trump’s presidency released on Friday showed that US job growth accelerated in February and the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1%, but the increased uncertainty of trade policy and the large-scale layoffs of the US federal government may weaken the resilience of the labor market in the coming months. The seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in the United States in February increased by 151,000, less than the expected 160,000. The total number of new jobs in December and January was 2,000 lower than before the revision. In addition, the US unemployment rate in February was 4.1%, higher than the expected 4%, the highest since November 2024. The annual rate of average hourly wages in the United States in February was 4%, lower than the expected 4.1%, and the previous value was revised down from 4.10% to 3.9%; the monthly rate was 0.3%, in line with expectations, and the previous value was revised down from 0.5% to 0.4%.
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The Fed and the bond market are in a tug-of-war – the US dollar benefits from it!
- January 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The markets may be volatile in the coming months, but there are ways to avoid the fray and earn solid gains. Although the Federal Reserve has been cutting rates since September, long-term Treasury yields have bucked the trend and climbed sharply. Treasury yields move inversely to prices, a dynamic that has hit long-term Treasury funds hard. What happens next depends on a number of factors, including the Fed’s next move, the U.S. fiscal situation, inflation expectations, and the policies of President-elect Trump. Fed Chairman Powell has already taken a more hawkish stance, preparing for two additional quarterly rate cuts in 2025.
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